2023

SGV thought leadership on pressing issues faced by chief executives in today’s economic landscape. Articles are published every Monday in the Economy section of the BusinessWorld newspaper.
24 July 2023 Benjamin N. Villacorte

IFRS S1 and S2: Game changers in global sustainability reporting

The International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) published on June 26 its first two global sustainability reporting standards — IFRS S1 General Requirements for Disclosure of Sustainability-related Financial Information and IFRS S2 Climate-related Disclosure.These standards can be game changers by helping companies identify material sustainability risks and opportunities that will help investors, lenders, and creditors assess the company’s resilience against changes and uncertainties driven by sustainability-related issues. Through sustainability reporting, business leaders can future-proof their organizations and solidify their positions in the global market.IFRS S1IFRS S1 requires businesses to disclose information about their sustainability-related risks and opportunities to investors, lenders, and other users of general-purpose financial statements. This standard covers information about an organization’s governance, strategy, risk management, and the applicable metrics and targets for its identified material sustainability-related risks and opportunities. While the standard is supposed to become effective for annual reporting periods starting on or after Jan. 1, 2024, this will vary based on local legislation.Given how close this is, higher management may wish to consider the different variables when implementing IFRS S1, such as the breadth of information they will have to share with clients and investors.STRENGTHENING GOVERNANCEOrganizations operating in industries or areas vulnerable to climate-related risks may already be disclosing information about their board and management’s oversight responsibilities and risk assessment processes. However, it is important to consider that IFRS S1 covers many sustainability topics besides climate change. The standard underscores how boards oversee target setting and progress monitoring, whether sustainability-related risk protocols exist, and if these policies synergize with other internal functions. Businesses must bolster their governance and streamline processes to capitalize on IFRS S1’s potential. Additionally, organizations must install aptly skilled professionals to meet the standard’s sustainability-related requirements and realize their strategic vision.SUSTAINABILITY-RELATED RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIESCompanies are expected to report only material sustainability-related risks and opportunities in the first year of applying IFRS S1. Nevertheless, management may already wish to delineate a comprehensive set of risks and opportunities, as this will help organizations identify crucial metrics and targets. This also means that businesses should sufficiently plan and allocate resources, as the identification phase is imperative for sustainability reporting.When identifying sustainability-related risks and opportunities, IFRS S1 compels organizations to consider the IFRS Sustainability Disclosure Standards (IFRS S1, IFRS S2) and the industry-based Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB). Companies can also analyze their competitors in the same industry or region to diversify their findings.Under IFRS S1, companies must share details about how sustainability-related risks and opportunities could affect their business model, cash flows, and strategic plans. This rigorous process demonstrates the relationship between sustainability issues and a company’s financial performance, giving investors a clear understanding of how environmental and societal factors could affect organizations.IFRS S1 uses the same concepts as the IFRS Accounting Standards, making it easier to integrate into future IFRS reporting. However, the scope for IFRS S1 differs from other sustainability reporting frameworks, so companies will have to first identify differences before applying the standard.HISTORICAL INFORMATION AND SUSTAINABILITY METRICSIn financial reporting, organizations generally utilize historical cost and fair value to measure the effect of events, transactions, and conditions in the financial statements. While accounting standards traditionally provide direct measurement guidance, the IFRS S1 does not. Instead, businesses must consider metrics from the SASB Standards and GRI Standards.IFRS S2On the other hand, IFRS S2 requires companies to disclose information specifically about climate-related risks and opportunities. IFRS S1 and IFRS S2 share the same content elements: governance, strategy, risk management, and metrics and targets. Similarly, the ISSB has set IFRS S2’s implementation date for annual reporting periods starting on or after Jan. 1, 2024, but, again, the effectivity date will depend on local legislation. Furthermore, the ISSB declared that organizations could utilize the standard earlier, but they must report their early adopter status and apply IFRS S1 at the same time.COMPREHENSIVE TRANSITION PLANSIFRS S2 categorizes climate-related risks as either physical or transitional. Physical risks are event-driven and longer-term such as extreme flooding and sea level rise, while transition risks are associated with moving to a lower-carbon economy such as higher operating costs as well as regulatory and reputational risks that will be faced by the company. Integrating transition plans into organizational strategies is becoming more important as the world continues to reduce carbon emissions. In line with this, IFRS S2 incorporates specific disclosure requirements about transition plans to help users understand the relationship between climate-related risks and opportunities and organizational strategy and decision-making.In addition, companies must declare the percentage of their assets and operations that are vulnerable to transition risks. Transition plans differ from long-term goals because the former is more comprehensive and detailed, such as articulating concrete plans like reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Organizations that already have transition plans must disclose critical assumptions, key activities, and resource plans.SCENARIO ANALYSES TO ENHANCE RESILIENCEInvestors will have access to more information given the requirements of IFRS S2, which could help them understand how companies adapt to disruptions related to climate change. Specifically, IFRS S2 requires organizations to articulate the durability of their business models to physical and transition risks. Hence, the standard mandates companies to perform climate-related scenario analyses and evaluations. Organizations should use suitable analysis methods based on their capabilities and resources.Conducting scenario analyses can help companies understand the resilience of their overall strategy to climate-related disruptions and uncertainties. Upper management will consequently gain salient insights to enhance their risk management procedures but should note that this is an iterative process that will require collaboration among the different business functions.REDUCE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONSReducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is crucial to climate change mitigation efforts. As such, IFRS S2 specifically requires organizations to disclose their absolute gross GHG emissions for the reporting period. GHG emissions are usually measured according to the Greenhouse Gas Protocol: A Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard (2004). Given the undertaking’s complexity, IFRS S2 allows some flexibility with the organization’s measurement approach.If local jurisdictions demand that companies use a different measurement method, IFRS S2 will permit it. During the first annual reporting period, organizations will also be allowed to use another methodology besides the GHG Protocol if they already had an alternative approach for the period immediately preceding the standard’s application date.Organizations must engage their stakeholders to ensure proper systems and controls are in place to support their disclosures.AVAILABLE RELIEFSCompanies may take advantage of the available transition reliefs that the ISSB has offered to report preparers. This helps them apply the standards during the first year of reporting and facilitates the “climate-first” approach in its disclosures. Included in the set of reliefs is prioritizing and reporting only on climate-related information and publishing the disclosures together with the company’s half-year report. Issuers also need not disclose their Scope 3 GHG emissions, adopt the GHG Protocol, and provide comparative information to comply with the ISSB standards in its inaugural year of application.RELIABLE ORGANIZATIONAL SUSTAINABILITY REPORTINGIFRS S1 and IFRS S2 lay the foundation of global sustainability reporting. In this country, the Board of Accountancy (BoA) issued Resolution No. 44 on Sept. 8, 2022 which recommends the adoption of the ISSB Standards in the preparation of general-purpose financial statements and the renaming of the Financial Reporting Standards Council to Financial and Sustainability Reporting Standards Council (FSRSC). The FSRSC, BoA, and Securities and Exchange Commission will provide guidance on the definite dates of ISSB adoption for Philippine reporters. Consequently, FSRSC established the Philippine Sustainability Reporting Committee (PSRC) to evaluate IFRS S1 and IFRS S2 for local use and issue a local interpretation and guidance.While sustainability will likely remain a challenging topic, the ISSB Standards can be considered game changers in facilitating a better understanding of climate issues like global warming and their impact on the world economy. Effective leadership and board governance will be vital to driving accurate and reliable organizational sustainability reporting. By properly implementing these standards, organizations can stay abreast of disruptions and uncertainties while remaining competitive in the global market. This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co. Benjamin N. Villacorte is a partner from the Climate Change and Sustainability Services team of SGV & Co. He is also the chairman of the Philippine Sustainability Reporting Committee.

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17 July 2023 Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña

Providing value for the tech-reliant consumer (Second Part)

Second of two partsAs consumers try to maintain their resiliency in the face of increasing cost of living pressures and ongoing economic concerns, they have started adopting new technology more frequently. This has led to consumers making changes in the way they consume, with the goal of making daily life more affordable through technology.In an SGV seminar held in June, “Getting ahead of the changing consumer and disruption, regional and local business strategy,” Climate Change, Sustainability Services and consumer products and retail (CPR) leaders from EY-Parthenon and SGV, along with distinguished industry leaders, shared the latest insights on the CPR industry. One of the topics discussed how companies can reframe corporate strategy to secure long-term sustainable growth for CPR, redefine the way they can serve consumers and anticipate sector disruptions, and embrace new-age models to get ahead of changing consumers.In addition, the most recent EY Future Consumer Index, which surveyed over 21,000 consumers in 27 countries, indicates that the usage of digital tools at work and home influences the way people consume as well as what they consume. This gives opportunities to businesses that can comprehend and influence these shifting consumer attitudes, but it should be noted that this goes beyond simply choosing appropriate technologies, overseeing their implementation, and developing the infrastructure necessary to support them.In the first part of this article, we discussed the technology-reliant and value-driven consumer as a result of the rapid rate of digital innovation and adoption, as well as the consumer’s issues with trust over the impact of new technologies.In this second part, we discuss how technological innovations must prioritize providing tangible benefits to the consumer, how technology will redefine the consumer of tomorrow, and how companies must build trust with, earn the respect of, and provide value to consumers.INNOVATION MUST PROVIDE TANGIBLE CONSUMER BENEFITSTo safeguard thin margins and market share, businesses are utilizing technology and data. They scramble to create data warehouses that they can mine for insights as consumers become more conscious of the value of their personal information. Consumers know the importance of their data, and demand better value as compensation for sharing it. The way businesses strike a balance in this dialogue becomes crucial to retaining customers.However, they must proceed cautiously since consumers are already trying out new brands and reassessing what they consider essential in their pursuit of better value. If consumers do not believe that using new technology benefits them, a company risks significant damage to the kinds of customer connections that are essential for long-term success and customer retention.The Index demonstrates a steady decline in the high levels of customer confidence many companies enjoyed following the pandemic. Retailers and consumer goods companies engage with customers far more frequently than other businesses, which presents an opportunity to either foster trust or undermine it depending on how well the needs of the consumer are taken into account.TECHNOLOGY WILL REDEFINE THE FUTURE CONSUMERThe way people live and work will change due to the rapid pace of technology, which will also redefine the future consumer. Behaviors and attitudes can suddenly and unexpectedly shift as a result of small, seemingly unrelated changes in many different areas.A majority of Index respondents — 50% — say they are employed by businesses engaged in large technology initiatives that aim to increase value for customers, employees, and investors. Artificial intelligence (AI) is one of the most important forces driving change in the technology landscape, and it will alter the customer experience with new products and services as well as completely new patterns of living and working on the horizon.BUILDING TRUST, EARNING RESPECT, AND PROVIDING VALUETo address their concerns about affordability, consumers are cutting back and reevaluating their priorities. While businesses must address these immediate requirements, they also cannot afford to lose sight of the wider picture. Future consumer behavior will be altered by technology, and businesses must therefore develop compelling value propositions that take this into consideration.Businesses must consider if consumers recognize the full worth of their brand or product, but also evaluate if this is what consumers want. The increased dependence on technology poses an opportunity for retailers and consumer goods companies to significantly impact the lives of their consumers, but it is just as crucial to provide them with advantages. For example, companies can provide a silent, time-saving convenience, or solutions to consumer issues that make certain products or services indispensable.Companies must consider how they can design gratifying, rewarding, and distinctive experiences, and determine how technology can assist in providing the optimal balance between all three components. For example, with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) as a major consideration these days, companies will also find opportunities to provide consumers with gratifying experiences by making conscious decisions in reducing the generation of plastic waste. Since both reduction and recovery methods are required to transition to a more circular economy, investment in technology, innovation, facilities, and product development are necessary.Also consider what steps are being taken to increase consumer confidence in the organization’s services and touchpoints, as well as how to determine if these efforts are effective. Trust involves many important factors, including providing value for money, protecting data, acting in accordance with the business values that consumers share, adopting an ethical mindset, and being genuine. Businesses can gain from a far deeper and more extensive interaction with consumers if they are perceived as one of a select number of reliable companies.Relationships like these are difficult to establish and simple to sever during a time when consumer confidence in businesses is experiencing a steady decline. Consumer-facing businesses have plenty of opportunities to get things right, but they also have as many opportunities to get it wrong because of the proliferation of new channels.Lastly, businesses have to ask themselves how they are adapting their strategies to address the technological revolution transforming customer engagement, and what they choose to prioritize. Innovation is transforming the propositions consumers have access to, how these are accessed, and ways of living and working. Businesses will need to respond to this by evolving the goods and services they provide, how they conduct business, and how they interact with customers.Businesses must also recognize, implement, and integrate the technologies that are appropriate for both the present and the future consumer. Despite the complexity, the objectives are clear: businesses need to build a relationship of trust, earn the respect of the consumer, and provide them with value that they will appreciate. This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña is a business consulting partner and the consumer products and retail sector leader of SGV & Co.

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10 July 2023 Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña

Providing value for the tech-reliant consumer (First Part)

First of two partsThe emergence of disruptive technologies along with ongoing global crises are impacting the consumer product and retail (CPR) sector, and the consumer value proposition working today may not be successful tomorrow. With this in mind, regional and local business strategy, Climate Change and Sustainability Services, and CPR leaders from SGV and EY-Parthenon, along with distinguished industry leaders shared the latest insights on the CPR sector in a seminar on June 20, “Getting ahead of the changing consumer and disruption.”Additional EY research has also found that consumers are attempting to maintain their resiliency in the face of ongoing economic concerns and cost-of-living pressures. This has led to them adopting new technologies more frequently, making changes in the way they purchase, live, and work with the goal of making daily life more affordable.The most recent EY Future Consumer Index, which surveyed over 21,000 consumers in 27 countries, examines how consumers worldwide perceive the personal advantages of technology. Insights from the Index also show that the way people consume as well as what they consume is influenced by their experiences using digital tools. This provides opportunities for brands that comprehend and influence these shifting attitudes and foresee the potentially transformative changes these may bring. However, this goes beyond simply choosing appropriate technologies, overseeing their implementation, and developing the infrastructure necessary to support them.Digital innovation must safeguard and promote the relationship with the customer. Trust, respect, and value in particular are the key factors. Companies must show they can be trusted to use technology securely and responsibly and utilize technology to benefit their consumers. Any innovation a company implements must provide fair value to its consumers. Being unable to strike the right balance between the three factors can result in hard-to-fix damage. However, striking that balance successfully can strengthen relationships with customers and gain their consent to expand and deepen that relationship when new technologies become more widely used.TECHNOLOGY-RELIANT, VALUE-DRIVEN CONSUMERSThe rate of digital innovation and adoption has become so rapid that users can easily become reliant on new tools without realizing how integrated they’ve become in daily life. Consumers are relying on digital technologies more and more to simplify their lives, save time and money, work from home, or lessen their environmental impact. According to Think With Google: Year in Search 2022, a report that shares insights and trends based on billions of Google searches, Filipino consumers are turning to digital services such as electronic payments to simplify offline in-store purchases, as well as online doctor consultations to save time.Consumers use digital for a variety of purposes, including managing their finances, selecting what shows or music to enjoy, keeping in touch with friends, keeping track of their health, and many others. For instance, 42% of consumers use a smart device to measure their health and physical activity, and 33% of consumers use facial recognition on their mobile phones.This disruption from technology presents business opportunities across real and digital worlds, such as providing a seamless consumer shopping experience through an omnichannel, orchestrating a digital ecosystem to best serve consumers along the consumer life journey, and designing a new meta-retail experience through the metaverse. Olivier Gergele, APAC Consumer Products & Retail Leader – EY Parthenon, said at the CPR seminar, “Though the metaverse isn’t ready, it will change the way we do business. It will be especially important to know its implications for us as retailers in the industry.”People are also placing more importance on issues that directly affect them as individuals than those that feel like collective challenges, such as their concern for the environment. Many are trying to cut back on their expenditure, though how they handle their finances depends on where they reside. Consumers around the world are focusing even more on value, with 64% of consumers believing private-label products to be just as good as branded ones and 73% reporting shrinking pack sizes but unchanging prices.The Index indicates that consumers have drastically boosted their use of both established and developing technologies at work and at home during a time when consumers are more concerned about a wide range of economic and personal problems. There is a significant pivot toward two concerns in particular: finances and health.When using new technology to engage consumers, retailers and consumer product businesses should keep these financial and health concerns in mind. Digital innovation can play a significant role in enhancing organizational performance by maintaining competitive prices, identifying efficiencies, and enhancing marketing. Trendipedia 2023, a consumer behavior study conducted by Tetra Pak, identifies two new trends in the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia: “flexi-shopping” and “eatertainment.” In flexi-shopping, consumers adopt a flexible mindset and reduce spending when needed but indulge in additional benefits they deem valuable, such as those related to health. The eatertainment trend shows that consumers, particularly Gen-Zs, look to be entertained with new flavors and trends in the online space, which brands should explore to reach them.However, it is important to weigh the need to address any ongoing business challenges against a longer-term strategy that already considers the benefits brought about by ongoing technological change. Companies also need to be careful not to take any actions that will prevent them from participating in long-term progress for the sake of short-term advantages. Brands that let their customers down run the danger of losing future digital relationships with them, and consumers will be more likely to reject digital innovations that don’t provide them with what they want. To understand how consumers feel about the digital advances that are permeating every area of their life today, it is crucial to pay attention to how consumers perceive these advances.NEW TECHNOLOGIES RAISE TRUST ISSUESCustomers and new technologies often have contradictory connections — consumers can become very dependent on a tool while also expressing concern about the risks it poses to their psychological and financial well-being. For instance, people take for granted that their mobile devices are always connected, but at the same time, they want to disable notifications and reminders because they can find continuous connectivity to be too much.Familiarity by itself cannot establish trust. For example, the use of AI (artificial intelligence) is becoming increasingly popular in areas such as customer care and an increasingly common part of brand engagement for many consumers. Moreover, disruptive business models leverage AI capabilities for robust decision-making. For example, the CPR presentation at the SGV CPR event revealed that Amazon heavily relies on consumer data it obtains from its platform for marketing and personalization costs. These costs aim to attract a higher wallet share from consumers and increased consumer engagement. However, many consumers are apprehensive about how AI may be used, with 24% of respondents fearing it may fully replace their jobs.Though the availability and accessibility of digital innovation continue to grow, the same cannot be said for trust in technology and its usage of personal data. Each annual release of the Index has seen no significant change in the willingness of consumers to share data with companies or brands. Consumers remain wary over how much data they provide — as much as 55% say they are very concerned about identity theft and fraud, 53% are very concerned about data security/breaches, and 53% are very concerned about companies selling their personal information to a third party. This shows how much consumers want to weigh the benefits of sharing data against the risks and the value they receive in exchange.According to Ashish Midha, Managing Director and CEO of ZALORA Philippines and Indonesia, speaking at the CPR seminar, “What’s important is to show people what’s relevant to them. It is a very fine line to balance between personalization and privacy, and it should be value-adding to the customer. One can very easily do the wrong thing, so it’s better to err on the side of conservatism.”In the second part of this article, we will discuss how technological innovations must prioritize providing tangible benefits to the consumer, how technology will redefine the consumer of tomorrow, and how companies must build trust with, earn the respect of, and provide value that consumers will appreciate. This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña is a business consulting partner and the consumer products and retail sector leader of SGV & Co. 

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03 July 2023 Vicky B. Lee-Salas

Managing liquidity risk in today’s environment

After several years of abundant and cheap liquidity, banks are facing new liquidity risk management challenges in today’s rapidly changing environment. Between June 2022 and May 2023, the Philippine benchmark interest rate moved from 2.5% to 6.25%. Similar interest rate trends have been noted across the Asean markets, impacting bank balance sheets and creating tougher economic conditions for customers. Borrowers are dealing with increased loan payments on variable-rate loans, decreased savings rates due to inflation, and general uncertainty about economic conditions.The recent data are tracking significant growth in bank fixed-income securities investments, which are susceptible to unrealized losses in a rising interest rate environment. Securities growth was 60% from April 2020 to April 2023.  Banks hold these securities to collect cash flows from interest and principal, but long-term securities with large unrealized losses are not typically sold to avoid realizing a loss. Thus, these investments do not represent true access to liquidity, unless banks undertake repurchase agreements at market value.Another factor driving up liquidity risk was demonstrated in the recent overnight failure of certain US banks. The sudden collapses show how, in the age of instant communication and social media, a financial panic can go into hyperdrive, facilitated by the ability to make instantaneous bank transfers and withdrawals.Although underlying problems caused the failure, banks need to recognize the additional liquidity risks now that social media has become interwoven into our social and financial lives. In an analog, bricks-and-mortar world, the US banks in question could arguably have had time to reach out to (and be propped up by) the Federal Reserve. But the speed at which social media fanned the flames of customer panic meant that, by the time banks opened the next morning, it was already too late to save them.Conditions can change quickly. Banks must stay on top of their liquidity management. TRADITIONAL STRESS-TESTING ASSUMPTIONSBanks need to take another look at their liquidity stress testing assumptions in light of:• The new speed of bank runs given the evolving role of technology in banking, including the ability of social media to turn a drama into a crisis. All the evidence suggests that a bank run precipitated by social media has the potential to cause even a healthy bank to fail in a matter of days.• The inflationary environment, with some observers predicting interest rates could climb into the low — or even the high — teens.• The potential need to support entities or funds, such as money market funds or unit investment trust funds (UITF), even though banks are not contractually obligated to do so.The new reality in which banks find themselves operating means current estimates of their contingency funding requirement may be significantly too low. They may also be underestimating the need to deal with intense media coverage or to incorporate reputation risk considerations into funding decisions. At its core, a contingency funding plan (CFP) is a crisis management tool. The plan should set out strategies management expects to use to address liquidity shortfalls. In this environment, now is a good time for banks to review their CFP and test its operational components.When updating stress testing, it’s vital not to ignore the worst-case stress tests. Monitoring and reporting functions are normally performed routinely, by the numbers on hypothetical, forward-looking scenarios. Management should look beneath the surface to highlight potential problems. Banks can no longer afford to “play it safe” with liquidity.The point is stress tests are not predictions. These are not events we think will likely eventuate. They are tools for revealing vulnerabilities — which means we must base them on worst-case scenarios. For example, what would the balance sheet look like if 80% of depositors pulled out their funds in a short period of time? It’s important to assess the impact of extreme but plausible scenarios like this on an institution’s earnings, liquidity, and solvency positions.SOLVENCY AND LIQUIDITY ARE TIGHTLY INTERTWINEDBanks also need to think more deeply about the link between their solvency and liquidity, which affects their liquidity buffer. The liquidity buffer is a pool of ear-marked, high-quality, and liquid assets used to meet immediate liquidity needs when faced with adverse conditions.Capital is not a substitute for liquidity. But the two are very closely intertwined. The more solvent a bank is, the less likely will a run ensue. Therefore, the weaker a bank’s solvency position, the more careful the bank has to be about maintaining a higher capital buffer.Apart from solvency concerns, the size of the liquidity buffer is also affected by a bank’s survivability horizon and risk appetite. The board should have a view on how long the bank is intended to survive a stressful environment when there is no access to new wholesale funding. Discussing these types of conditions will help to determine the size of the liquid asset buffer the bank needs. BUILDING LIQUIDITY RISK INTO DECISIONSIn tackling this issue, bankers should ensure liquidity risk strategies are clearly articulated and understood throughout the institution, especially in business units that generate and consume liquidity. This will help to drive corporate strategy that addresses liquidity risk and prudent business decisions. Otherwise, there may be gaps between business and financial plans, which can greatly weaken liquidity positions in the current environment.For example, institutions may not adequately prepare for the implications on the liquidity of actions taken in normal business activities, like focusing on a new customer segment, or strategic initiatives, like acquisitions or entering new markets. Liquidity costs must also be taken into account to more accurately reflect the true costs of products and services, leading to more appropriate deposit pricing.For banks looking to embed liquidity risk into day-to-day business decision-making, incentives can play an important role. Are targets sufficiently designed to achieve an appropriate balance between risk appetite and risk controls? Between short-run and longer-run performance? Or between individual or local business unit goals and firm-wide objectives?UNDERSTANDING BANK FUNDING RISKAn important piece of managing liquidity risk is to understand how the bank is funding its balance sheet. Normally, this involves a mix of core deposits, noncore deposits, wholesale funds and equity. Management should understand concentration risks, including large fund providers or large depositors, concentrations to certain industries, concentrations of noninsured deposits or concentrations in certain types of wholesale funding. Part of the CFP should be potential responses to those concentration and funding risks. Deeply knowing your customers and a study of historic deposit behaviors can also help the bank understand the expected maturities on its deposits.  DATA QUALITY MAY NEED TO BE ADDRESSEDThe experience of helping banks to assess liquidity risk in institutions around the region highlights the need to address data problems. Accurate risk assessment depends on aggregating data across multiple systems to develop a group-wide view of liquidity risk exposures and identify constraints on the transfer of liquidity within the entire banking group.If banks are adjusting their stress-testing scenarios and assumptions, this is also an opportunity to check the validity and accuracy of data used in all reports feeding into liquidity risk management. Improving the accuracy of liquidity metrics and liquidity positions can identify significant liquidity opportunities.INDEPENDENT REVIEW OF LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENTFinally, in a rapidly changing environment, an independent review can be helpful to evaluate liquidity risk management processes for their alignment with regulators’ guidance and industry sound practices.All these efforts will deliver strong returns on their investment. The better banks manage liquidity, the less it will cost — an increasingly important differentiator in today’s market. This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.Vicky B. Lee-Salas is a partner of SGV & Co.

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26 June 2023 Janet A. Paraiso

How embedded finance elevates the customer experience

The global market continually evolves as customers look for ways to better integrate financial services into their daily lives. Consumers now prefer a holistic customer journey rather than siloed transactions. As such, banks and other financial institutions must identify opportunities in this developing ecosystem to stay competitive and drive long-term growth.On a micro-scale, individuals can locally use e-wallets and online banking apps to send and receive money, pay bills, and perform cashless transactions on their mobile phones. These integrated experiences have evolved past digital financial services, bringing us closer to the next economic revolution.NOVEL FINANCIAL EXPERIENCESNon-financial organizations have started recognizing the value of offering seamless financial services to meet the needs of “digital citizens.” These businesses are now capitalizing on customer data and analytics to boost brand loyalty, generate new growth, and refine the customer experience. In this new age of technology-driven finance, services are most effective when delivered conveniently and frictionlessly.Changing and developing customer expectations are driving this new era of integrated finance. E-commerce platforms, online marketplaces, and retailers are starting to embed financial products and services into their end-to-end customer journeys.Fundamentally, embedded finance involves a non-financial services company integrating financial products or services into its value chain to bolster its customer experience.According to an EY market survey, with respondents from 21 technology providers across the Americas, EMEIA, and APAC, 94% of global financial technology leaders said that addressing customers’ needs in real time is a significant feature of financial products. As such, there is a burgeoning interest for financial and non-financial institutions to collaborate and identify opportunities for mutual growth. Additionally, EY financial research predicts the valuation of global embedded finance to grow from $264 billion in 2021 to $606 billion in 2025.THE RISE OF EMBEDDED OFFERINGSBanking-as-a-service (BaaS) providers use modern application program interfaces (API) to provide regulated banking solutions to non-financial institutions. These platforms and related technologies make it easier for financial technologies (Fintechs) to work with brands. The advancement of cloud computing and the omnipresence of mobile devices enables considerable connectivity between brands and consumers.Moreover, other integrated value propositions are on the rise. For example, a local e-commerce platform allows buyers and merchants to transact within its mobile app through its e-wallet feature. This service eliminates the need for a separate, traditional bank account. Another example is what started as a ridesharing app, but which now has transitioned to payments, food delivery, e-wallets, and more. Furthermore, the EY market survey shows that over 70% of respondents think that non-financial institutions will offer more financial products and services in the future.For a non-financial services company, having customer transactional data can help the organization create bespoke offerings for its consumers. Online marketplaces, retailers, and software companies, among others, are expected to play a crucial role in the future of the finance sector. Hence, organizations must rethink their positioning, strategic vision, and value propositions to capitalize on this nascent market opportunity.THE VALUE OF PAYMENTSEmbedded finance is manifold, but payments are the most significant in terms of revenue. According to EY research, the value of embedded-channel payments will grow to $6.5 trillion by 2025 from $2.5 trillion in 2021. Non-financial businesses make use of payments as the first touchpoint of customer transactions. With various offerings like discounts, gifts, and pre-orders, payments can help an organization create new experiences and increase customer retention. Furthermore, brands can integrate other services like insurance into this transactional flow the further it evolves.Likewise, consumers worldwide have increasingly adopted the use of digital wallets. This development has revolutionized the payment process for customers and merchants. According to an EY report, The Rise of Paytech — seven forces shaping the future of payments, mobile commerce comprised 52% of e-commerce spending, surpassing that of desktop users. Mobile wallets also held a 49% share in worldwide e-commerce payments in 2021. Finally, according to Juniper Research, an analyst house specializing in digital technology market research, the number of digital wallet users globally may exceed 5.2 billion by 2026, up from 3.4 billion in 2022.THE ROLE OF FINANCIAL SERVICES PROVIDERSEmbedded finance is a disruption that forces traditional financial institutions like banks to embrace this development. It is crucial for banks to adapt, as non-financial institutions have shown that they can now occupy the traditional role of banks. Brands that integrate finance into their customers’ end-to-end journeys create a convenient and robust user experience, which can cement their place in the global market.Once organizations clearly grasp their capabilities, leaders can devise strategies to incorporate embedded finance in the following ways:1. Customer- or product-centered approach This is a traditional model where banks can extend their services to others while innovating their core offerings. This approach means financial institutions are agile and introduce new products that will retain their customer base as market conditions evolve.2. Enabler approachThis approach centers on banks extending their products and services via a platform business model. Additionally, they must set up a digital set of core offerings while embedding services into other third-party platforms. By doing so, banks must understand which products and services could synergize with third-party platforms. They also need to consider various partnership models based on their existing capabilities.3. Builder approachThis technology-heavy approach involves the creation of platforms that house internal and external products. This method relies on agility and functionality as the model continuously adapts according to third-party functionalities. The bank must consider what offerings they can build in-house and which ones they must outsource. 4. Owner orchestrator approachIn this scenario, the bank owns the platform and customer distribution channels while also delivering its products. As such, it must invest in the right technology to bolster customer interactions. This method requires a scalable operating model that continuously improve the functionalities. The bank needs to measure the platform’s success and identify ways to increase brand recognition and retain customers.The conundrum that banks face is that consumers are opting for embedded channels to tap financial services. Financial institutions must find ways to innovate their products and services, lest they fall behind. As the digital age progresses, banks and other institutions should seize the opportunity to differentiate themselves from their competitors. Ultimately, innovation will drive the advancement of financial services toward integrated customer experiences. The discrepancy between what brands offer and what consumers want creates an opportunity for organizations to develop a new strategic vision to drive long-term growth. Banks and other organizations can explore new options, reimagine offerings, and embrace non-traditional revenue channels as they pivot to a financially embedded world. This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.Janet A. Paraiso is an assurance partner and the FSO assurance leader of SGV & Co.

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19 June 2023 Benjamin N. Villacorte

How sustainable supply chains enable business transformation

Supply chains underscore sustainability and serve as the core of an organization’s ESG-related goals and objectives. With this in mind, supply chain leaders are taking the necessary measures to safeguard resources while identifying new opportunities to drive results. EY teams conducted a global supply chain survey, the EY Supply Chain Sustainability 2022 Report, which polled respondents from countries like Argentina, Canada, and the US for insights from the retail, technology, and agriculture sectors. The findings indicate that several executives have long-term goals for sustainable supply chains, but only some have the acumen, programs, and technology to assess their progress. Some challenges included costs and a need for a strong business case to justify expenditures. According to the US Environmental Protection Agency, more than 90% of an organization’s greenhouse gas emissions and around 50% to 70% of its operating costs are attributed to supply chains. As such, executives can clearly realize significant sustainability-related benefits to greening their supply chains in the long term. The study discovered that eight in 10 supply chain leaders are gearing their initiatives toward more sustainable operations. They are increasing efforts toward decarbonization, proper use of natural resources, ethical sourcing, and fair trade. They are also trying to increase innovation, lessen risk, and realize a greater return on investment for ESG-related initiatives. In the Philippines, many manufacturers, retailers, and local governments have taken steps to reduce plastic use in favor of more environmentally friendly materials. For example, several cities have implemented ordinances banning the distribution and/or use of single-use plastics for onsite dining. Several cities have also banned the distribution of plastic bags in their establishments. With the Philippines counting as a significant contributor to the plastic problem, accounting for 750 thousand metric tons of plastic waste entering the ocean in 2010, the Philippine Alliance for Recycling and Materials Sustainability (PARMS) and its member companies have committed to the Zero Waste to Nature, Ambisyon 2030 (ZWTN 2030) initiative. The initiative aims to divert waste from landfills by recycling materials and resources, supported by strategies and a roadmap with specific implementation timelines and targets to ensure that none of the industrial or post-consumer packaging waste generated by PARMS members ends up in nature by 2030. In addition, with the government’s passage of Republic Act No. 11898, also known as the Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) Act of 2022, obliged enterprises established their own EPR programs for the EPR registration deadline in February. With the Act now being implemented, there is greater anticipation that the country will see a significant increase in its overall recycling rate. While the EPR Act initially covers plastic packaging, the coverage will gradually expand to encompass other materials as well. This article will delve deeper into the most salient insights from the report with the aim of supporting executives in achieving their sustainability-related goals. LACK OF TRANSPARENCY AND ROI-BACKED SUSTAINABILITY EFFORTSThe demand for supply chain-related visibility has increased with the burgeoning expectations of employees, regulators, and stakeholders. Consumers are becoming more mindful of ESG-related matters, such as sustainable sourcing, organizational health, and work conditions. The report showed that supply chain visibility was a top priority that year for executives, compared to it being a second priority for previous years. In addition, there is a crucial need to assess risks and plan for disruptions and crises. However, only 37% of respondents reported end-to-end supply chain visibility. Collaboration programs, data analytics, and digital tools can help businesses set KPIs and establish overall governance. Organization-wide visibility is a comprehensive initiative, and companies can use it to assess program effectiveness, track resources, and understand labor conditions. Management can also capitalize on technology to identify and home in on operational efficiencies. Notably, the report revealed that 33% of organizations lack a business case for sustainable supply chains, whereas almost half of the respondents reported that their companies have difficulties in measuring sustainability-related returns. Consequently, lacking a solid business case could lead to a shortage of financial support for long-term efforts. FOCUS ON END-TO-END SUPPLY CHAIN TRANSFORMATIONAs much as 61% of businesses reported that cost savings and efficiency were primary motivators for undergoing supply chain sustainability initiatives. Even so, financial gain was not the only benefit. According to Andrew Winston from a Harvard Business Review Whiteboard Session, organizations should prioritize four elements to concretize return on investment for supply chain sustainability: 1. Cost reduction. Improve operational efficiency, lessen material waste, and minimize carbon footprint. 2. Revenue growth. Assess how sustainable supply chains influence market share, profitability, and stock price. 3. Supply chain risk management. Create long-term sourcing strategies and manage compliance and regulatory risks. 4. Intangibles. Delve into sustainability’s relationship with brand reputation, customer loyalty, and talent retention. Moreover, 55% of supply chain executives expect improved operational risk management in the next three years, whereas 31% already reported more efficiency and productivity. Regarding long-term returns, 54% of respondents said they expect an increase in share price or other benchmarks of shareholder value. TAILOR-FIT SUSTAINABILITY-RELATED INITIATIVESExecutives must determine how sustainable supply chains fit into their business strategies. Businesses can structure their efforts by identifying how supply chains enable their goals. Deploying technological capabilities to improve visibility can boost supplier and stakeholder engagement. Organizations can broaden their RoI metrics to include intangible impacts and sustainability results. Given the ever-changing nature of the global market, companies need to go beyond standard business-case drivers such as customer loyalty, market share, and revenue. Enterprises should adopt an end-to-end approach, focusing on cross-functional collaboration, planning, and distribution to identify new opportunities. C-LEVEL CONSIDERATIONSAround 10% of respondents stood out in terms of progress in sustainability-related areas, and their organizations are realizing considerate benefits. One thing they have in common is their considerable focus on transparency. More than half (57%) of this group have public-facing sustainability goals. In terms of material gain, almost half of these trailblazing leaders have already reported a better employee experience.  Compared with other respondents, these executives are reaping financial gains despite focusing less on cost-saving measures. At least 25% have reported increased revenue from their supply chain sustainability initiatives, while 43% expect an increased share price in the next three years. Lastly, the data show they are more likely to use sustainable supply chains to protect their corporate brand. Supply chain sustainability has become increasingly important as global market expectations evolve. Organizations are starting to identify financial and nonfinancial opportunities of ESG-related efforts, and executives who know which KPIs to prioritize are already reaping the benefits. This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co. Benjamin N. Villacorte is a partner from the Climate Change and Sustainability Services team of SGV & Co.

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12 June 2023 Armand N. Cajayon, Jr.

The role of micro transformations in organizational growth

The global market and economy continually grapple with various disruptions and crises, and it has become imperative for chief information officers (CIOs) to maintain day-to-day operations with a reduced margin of error. It is incumbent on CEOs to balance technological investment with budget constraints while executives continually face the pressure of showing their clients and stakeholders the value of their operational strategy.The burgeoning demand for investment value underscores the importance of micro transformations in businesses. Micro transformations are incremental yet substantive initiatives that target an organization’s key performance indicators (KPIs) based on their overall business strategies. Compared to traditional projects, micro transformations can help identify bottlenecks and strengths of pre-existing processes. CIOs can use this agile methodology to generate value for their companies.Organizations can effect sustainable change across their people, processes, and technologies by focusing on gradual changes rather than larger-scale and time-consuming efforts. Micro transformations can help businesses adapt to and address disruptions while targeting their most valuable KPIs.Launching a new feature such as an automated customer service chatbot to address customer-specific pain points and adopting the cloud to streamline internal processes are examples of micro transformations. Another example of a micro-transformation project is the implementation of an online deposit account opening solution. In a remote world, financial institutions benefit from a completely digital, user-friendly and seamless customer experience. We see this demonstrated in some digital banks that allow the opening of deposit accounts with only a mobile phone. The ability to open a deposit account at any time and place provides immediate customer value.It should be noted, however, that micro transformations should also be guided by an overall transformation strategy to ensure that all micro transformation initiatives are cohesive. The small victories resulting from smaller, bite-sized technology upgrades can create instant value for organizations while paving the way for more robust digital initiatives, projects, and solutions later on.ADDRESSING DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION FATIGUEDigital transformation can be a cumbersome and intimidating process that may appear promising at the start but fail to deliver results. On the other hand, micro transformations can target benchmarks that would be most impacted by a new offering or service, reducing the time it would take for businesses to realize gains. Organizations can further develop operational efficiencies, risk mitigation, and resource optimization by clearly delineating KPIs.For example, an up-and-coming startup envisions a new strategy after having difficulties with launching its first product offering. This strategy involves interfacing with potential clients and investors while bolstering the former with recent market research. Getting fresh perspectives can help management focus on and refine critical areas most relevant to their strategic priorities. Considering the customers’ needs is vital in formulating a sustainable business plan, which organizations can do via smaller-scale initiatives.If one were to dissect a micro transformation, one could say that it is underpinned by more than just the solution and execution of the work. It also goes beyond automation and changes because it entails continuous improvement and deep process design efforts. This process incentivizes organizations to think big while creating an agile, scalable plan to materialize gains. By returning to the drawing board, companies can identify market opportunities and streamline their day-to-day operations, even if it means upending pre-existing processes. Micro transformations involve adapting to change with a data-substantiated, systematic approach coherent with the organization’s business strategy.REDUCE COMPLEXITY, ADD CONNECTIVITYTraditionally, an organization focuses on initiatives involving collaboration platforms, feedback mechanisms, and workflow plans. While these could yield positive results, siloed efforts often require considerable micromanagement, which could introduce more variables to an already complex system.Micro transformations take a more systematic approach by focusing on project-centered priorities. Data is fed to the appropriate teams, ensuring that the same workflow plan governs everyone. Knowledge is provided to the digital system, which continuously evolves with each project stage. This consolidated approach gives organizations a level of connectivity that would have been a challenge had they abided by standard and traditional practices. Micro transformations assist businesses with streamlining their day-to-day operations to adapt and respond to different risks, which could boost client and customer confidence.As companies pivot into the digital space, micro transformations allow them to capitalize on value-driven core capabilities and identify market opportunities without immense commitments. This streamlined process allows management to deconstruct silos and test the waters with less risk than traditional, larger-scale transformations. In this case, end-to-end digital transformation may be able to help businesses materialize value faster with minimal disruptions to day-to-day operations.ELEMENTS OF MICRO TRANSFORMATIONS1. Processing of data and identification of KPIsIdentifying and articulating KPIs are vital to micro transformations. Organizations can strengthen their overall strategy using analytics-driven data by focusing on metrics that directly impact the business.2. Optimization of KPIsOnce the organization has identified its KPIs, management can identify opportunities and pain points of the company. Consequently, they can refine their product offerings and address underlying areas of improvement.3. Engagement of clients and stakeholdersCommunicating with stakeholders at different points of the project is essential for the success of micro transformations. Organizations should align initiatives and engage interest to foster investor confidence.4. Identification of appropriate technologiesTechnology underpins successful micro transformations, and the former is requisite for implementing changes on an organization-wide scale. By leveraging suitable technologies, businesses can engineer KPI-specific solutions and implement agile application frameworks for various strategic initiatives.GETTING STARTED WITH MICRO TRANSFORMATIONSMicro transformations are holistic approaches that create business value based on their strategy-related benchmarks. This manifold process allows companies to enhance their operating models based on insights-driven data. Management must select projects carefully, delineate the appropriate KPIs, and focus on customer experiences and needs to boost confidence.While micro transformations can yield immediate gains, instant gratification is not the end goal. Ultimately, it is a systematic approach that can help organizations position themselves in the global market and pave their way toward bigger digital transformation agendas. This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.Armand N. Cajayon, Jr. is a technology consulting principal of SGV & Co. 

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05 June 2023 Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña

Rethinking value: The evolution of consumer spending (Third Part)

Third of three partsAfter learning to live with less during the height of the pandemic, many consumers have shifted to pursuing simpler, less consumerist values, according to the EY Future Consumer Index. The study surveyed over 21,000 consumers in 27 countries to determine how consumers see changes in their values and how they look at life. With consumers less willing to spend, businesses have the opportunity to rethink the concept of growth and how to evaluate it.In the previous parts of this article, we discussed the drivers that could reshape consumption patterns, the significant changes in those patterns that are predicted to occur over the next few years, the factors affecting drivers of growth, and their implications for consumer companies.In this last part, we discuss how redefining success will reshape business as we know it and how companies can further understand changing consumer expectations.HOW REDEFINING SUCCESS WILL RESHAPE BUSINESSConsumer companies will need to examine their strategies, business models, and operational structures for them to adapt to this shifting consumer climate and make sure they are relevant to the evolving definitions of value. While not all potential changes will occur suddenly, the current trends already show significant changes in how consumer companies will define and assess success.The Future Consumer Index identified the following drivers that can reshape the existing measures of success:Peer-to-peer models. Peer-to-peer activities are expanding quickly thanks to community platforms, online marketplaces, social selling, and agile payment systems. This makes it possible for customers to independently sell, buy, trade, exchange, and gift goods and services. While this is not a new concept, the sudden growth of backyard businesses during the pandemic, as we have seen in our Philippine market, has given rise to a new generation of microentrepreneurs.Pricing at ‘true cost’. The desire for “true prices” that take into account social, environmental, and health concerns is growing despite the fact that algorithms can already optimize prices in real time for commercial impact. Product pricing may become more individualized to user profiles as data quality and analytics capabilities continue to advance.Well-being as status. As consumers promote lifestyles that emphasize well-being instead of wealth, exercise, sports apparel, healthier meals, and wellness getaways serve as status symbols.Co-creation with consumers. Through social influencers and crowdsourcing, interactive media has given rise to a wave of user-generated content. According to the Digital 2023 Global Overview Report, a social media study produced in partnership with social media agencies Meltwater and We Are Social, Philippine social media users account for as much as 72.5% of the population. Less restrictive intellectual property laws, 3D printing, and open-source tools may also potentially make it easier for customers to collaborate with brands to co-design, manufacture, market, and share the value of goods and services.Enhanced leadership through AI. The delivery of optimized insights that support operational and strategic direction will come more frequently via AI and automation. When business leaders outsource certain judgments and make more decisions based on facts and data, this could ultimately redefine functional positions within boardrooms.UNDERSTANDING CHANGING CONSUMER EXPECTATIONSCompanies will need to adapt to a world where growth and wealth are no longer the exclusive measures for development and success. Businesses will have the ability to control what lies ahead for them by recognizing what factors can potentially influence consumer expectations and behavior through the following points of action:Developing fresh value pools. While some existing value pools will provide revenue, others will make additional contributions that will help to create a more comprehensive understanding of how “good” is defined. Having strong financial balance sheets alone will not help a business succeed in the market, especially if they come at the expense of other factors, such as environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations. A company’s success cannot be determined solely by how many or how much of a product it can sell, but also by the services it can provide, the impact it can make, and the values or communities it can support.Innovating ways to meet consumer needs. Through scaling AI, releasing new manufacturing techniques, and unlocking efficient operating constructs, technology will allow consumer companies to deliver personalization at a lower cost and with less resource use. By enabling customers to participate in value creation through peer-to-peer selling and brand collaboration, service-based models that span several categories and industries will become more prevalent in order to meet consumer expectations. A new corporate mission that satisfies expectations for wellbeing by evaluating the true costs and benefits beyond those measured in financial currency will be foundational for this development.Reviewing impact and contribution. Retailers can offer more value in terms of the insights and data they share back to brands, their contributions to employee wellbeing, and their position in the community on top of the revenue generated by their stores. The success of consumer goods companies may also depend just as much on their capacity to address systemic environmental problems or enhance consumer health as it does on their capacity to persuade customers to buy their goods.REDEFINING SUCCESS TO BUILD LONG-TERM VALUEOf all the factors discussed, long-term value remains the most important. As social and environmental key performance indicators join financial metrics as drivers of long-term value, intangible assets are likewise becoming more significant in driving value. New definitions of success will challenge the prioritization of growth as stakeholder knowledge and influence expands through increased connectivity and transparency.Growth and profitability are currently viewed as indicators of how well consumer companies are able to meet the demands of the market. However, given rapidly and dramatically changing consumer behavior and priorities, companies will need to reimagine new strategies to build long-term value and sustainably deliver the products and experiences that consumers, both today and in the near future, truly want.  This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña is a business consulting partner and the consumer products and retail sector leader of SGV & Co. RELATED STORIES:First of three parts (22-May-2023) and Second of three parts (29-May-2023) 

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29 May 2023 Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña

Rethinking value: The evolution of consumer spending (Second Part)

Second of three partsPeople are buying less and/or buying better in various ways, a trend that is creating new consumption patterns. While consumption is still crucial for economic growth, companies will need to adapt as customers increasingly prefer experiences and digital goods over tangible items. To remain competitive, companies will need to know what is causing those changes, how they will affect their goods and services, and what future success will look like as redefined by evolving consumer needs.With consumer spending such a large source of economic growth, the consumer is truly king. While it has become widely accepted that consumption drives growth, two years of lockdowns have left a lasting impression on consumer preferences. According to the EY Future Consumer Index, which surveys over 21,000 consumers in 27 countries, many consumers have developed simpler, less consumerist values as a result of learning to live with less during the height of the pandemic. Whether by preference or circumstance, we’ve seen the Filipino consumer become more selective in where and how they spend their money. With consumers demonstrating a decreasing appetite for spending, businesses are faced with the opportunity to redefine the concept of growth and how to measure it.In the first part of this article, we discussed the drivers that could reshape consumption patterns and the significant changes in said patterns that are predicted to occur over the next few years. In this second part, we discuss the factors affecting drivers of growth and their implications for consumer companies.DRIVERS AFFECTING PERCEPTIONS OF GROWTHTraditionally, businesses are evaluated by how much they can increase their revenue and profit margins, while entire economies are measured by how much they can grow their GDP. This makes changes in consumer values and spending habits crucial to their success. The measurements used to gauge development and growth will inevitably change as the foundations of consumption change as well.Growth defines progress; strong GDP growth or increases in revenue both indicate that things are moving in the right direction, and when they are declining, they raise red flags. However, the importance of growth is being questioned, with increasing pressure to switch national development indicators from financial measurements to a “well-being economy,” which measures success by the well-being of the environment as well as consumers.Wealth and well-being have long been correlated with each another, and focusing on well-being instead of assuming that wealth itself delivers well-being creates a significant change in how economies develop. This is being increasingly reflected in the development of business strategies. Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns are further influencing investment choices, and ESG goals are being reported more often alongside financial ones.The EY Future Consumer Index identified the following drivers that could reshape existing perceptions of growth and progress.Alternative business models. As resources become scarcer, investments are being driven to find alternatives. This will open up new opportunities, reducing related costs and delivering a new wave of goods and services as a result of rising technologies, data proliferation, alternate food sources, and renewable energy.Immersive virtual economies. As consumers spend more time and money online, alternative digital economies are emerging and becoming larger, more numerous, and more complex. This will open up new opportunities for the creation of value-utilizing digital assets or currencies that are transferable between the real world and the virtual one.Well-being economy. Alternative metrics that produce better social and environmental results are beginning to replace the emphasis on using financial growth and wealth to measure progress and development. There is also the previously mentioned increasing pressure to replace metrics like GDP with ones that instead focus on enhancing the well-being of the environment and the general populace.Social evaluation. Algorithms that monitor factors such as social conduct, consumer spending patterns, media consumption, and credit history can produce holistic and comprehensive ratings that reflect the social value of individuals and organizations. As these scores become more widely used, they may be used to determine who has access to financial, travel, and healthcare privileges.Converging public and private services. The gap between businesses and governments is narrowing as corporations use resources and infrastructure for functions previously performed by the public sector, such as taking back and recycling waste, providing healthcare or education, or using social media for emergency communications. Local fashion corporations in particular have employed ongoing recycling initiatives, incentivizing their customers to adopt more circular lifestyles.IMPLICATIONS FOR CONSUMER COMPANIESThe previously discussed factors show that simply measuring financial growth may not be sufficient anymore when it comes to measuring overall progress. For example, value creation will shift away from physical economies and toward virtual economies due to the scarcity of certain resources and the growing availability of others. Non-financial goals will take precedence over hard currency, pushing back the impact on time, people, and the environment.The well-being of our planet and its inhabitants will be combined with financial security and economic growth on national agendas. The demographic dividend that has sustained economic advancement for centuries will be undermined by declining population growth, while technology may result in shorter workweeks and the need for new welfare programs.In the last part of this article, we discuss how redefining success will reshape business as we know it and how companies can further understand changing consumer expectations.  This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña is a business consulting partner and the consumer products and retail sector leader of SGV & Co.

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22 May 2023 Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña

Rethinking value: The evolution of consumer spending (First Part)

First of three partsConsumer spending serves as the cornerstone of the world economy and society, and both businesses and governments depend on it. It currently accounts for more than half (60%) of the world’s GDP, according to the Global Economy, an online database that compiles over 500 indicators for more than 200 countries since 1960. In the Philippines, private consumption accounted for 75.4% of nominal GDP in December 2022.When consumers spend, the economy grows; when they do not, the economy shrinks — showing us how the consumer is truly king. Even during a recession, consumers always manage to find a way to spend their way back to growth, with methods employed for recovery nearly always centering on getting consumers to spend more money by lowering debt payments and raising wages.Two years of lockdowns in particular have left a lasting impression on consumer preferences. As much as 54% of consumers have noticed changes in their values and outlook on life, according to the EY Future Consumer Index, which surveys over 21,000 consumers in 27 countries. Many consumers have developed simpler, less consumerist values as a result of learning to live with less. An increasing number of reselling, renting, and repair services made possible by technological platforms and new business models also enable consumers to restrict their consumption without affecting their lives.The pursuit of economic growth is also receiving more criticism, with questions raised about the potential social and environmental consequences of economic expansion. Consumption is under pressure due to current macroeconomic instability, rising interest rates and continuously higher than average inflation rates. This in turn is reducing the appetite for consumers to spend their way out of a crisis, possibly redefining the concept of growth and how to measure it.CHANGING CONSUMER BEHAVIORFor many years, encouraging people to consume more has been the source of growth. The introduction of new products, seasonal fashion, bigger portions, and an abundance of options have previously increased consumer spending. However, with increasing signs of consumption fatigue, brands must reevaluate their value proposition to motivate consumers to consume better instead of consuming more.At the same time, consumption is not going anywhere; people still need to eat and drink, although they may purchase food and drink in various ways. Clothing and other necessities will still be in demand, though perhaps in less quantity. Even though consumer aspirations may be less centered on tangible objects, they will still have goals that depend on products and services.The Future Consumer Index identified five drivers that could reshape consumption patterns:Household evolution. With the increasing number of single-person and single-parent homes, household sizes are decreasing. According to a study funded by the World Health Organization and conducted by the Department of Health (DoH) and the University of the Philippines-National Institutes of Health, the number of solo parents in the Philippines is currently estimated at 14 million to 15 million. Longer life expectancies, alling fertility rates, and children staying at home longer also contribute to evolving household compositions, creating new consumption patterns in the types and volumes of products purchased.Experiences over products. Spending on material things will reach a saturation point as consumption rises, lowering the value of tangible commodities. Instead, consumers will start to spend their discretionary income on activities that enrich their lifestyles through experiences.Extended product lifecycles. Companies and customers are under increasing pressure to improve and repair items instead of replacing them. The frequency of new product introductions will decline as the concept of “planned obsolescence” gives way to the “right to repair,” and repair or enhancement services will create new revenue streams.Digital goods and services. With more time spent online, consumers find less need to own or use physical goods and services. While many essential needs will continue to be met physically, the growth of digital goods and services is expanding consumer spending and opening up new possibilities for innovation and value creation.Impact transparency. Consumer awareness of the broader effects of the goods and services they use — on both people and the planet — will only continue to increase. More readily available product information will affect the decisions they make.THE FUTURE OF CONSUMPTION PATTERNSSignificant changes in consumption patterns are predicted to occur over the next few years, according to learnings from the EY Future Consumer Index.Consumption of physical goods as a percentage of total consumption will drop. Less tangible consumables are seeing an increase in consumer preference. In particular, the total amount of physical products will decline as a result of consumers choosing experiences, digital products, and longer product life cycles.Asset-light lifestyles will change basket and product sizes. In a future world when being frugal is commended, less will be more. Everything will be available for rent or subscription, and fluctuating household sizes will determine how much people buy. Bulk purchasing will decline as the number of one-person homes rises, while the practice of purchasing better quality items instead of more and renting the remainder will increase as consumers reevaluate whether they really need certain products.Simplicity and transparency will enable consumer choices. Consumers will be able to cut through complexity with the help of artificial intelligence (AI), enabling purchase decisions to be defined by seamless convenience as much as price. However, consumers will also make decisions that consider the impact of those decisions on their values. They might not give as much thought to daily essentials as long as the items meet expectations in terms of price and use, but consumers will prefer to invest their time and money in the goods and services they genuinely value.In the second part of this article, we discuss the factors affecting drivers of growth and their implications for consumer companies. This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.Maria Kathrina S. Macaisa-Peña is a business consulting partner and the consumer products and retail sector leader of SGV & Co.

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